San Francisco retail market reports
Q3 2024
Q3 2024: With the exception of Union Square, Bay Area retail enjoyed healthy growth and performance in Q3 2024. Downtown San Francisco has reacted positively to continued efforts to revitalize its retail core as the new entertainment zones are proving popular, with the Front Street zone having 20 events (nearly two a month) booked for 2025. In addition, leasing activity and new deals have are gaining momentum including the announcements of La Parc Bistrobar at 185 Sutter, Red Bay Coffee at 200 Montgomery, Sorrel in the Ferry Building, Burberry at 110 Geary, Carmina at 54 Geary and Flywheel Coffee at 22 Battery Street.
Total San Francisco retail availability including Union Square and surrounding areas
Retail hubs across the Bay Area, bar Union Square, continue to enjoy relatively healthy availability rates in Q3 2024. The announcement of the auction/note sale of the former 1.4MM sq ft Westfield (with current debt of $625.6MM) on November 19th as well as the announcement that the 312,592 sf Metreon complex being listed for sale has created some ripples in the market but show promise for a new vision for downtown.
Construction costs continue to remain flat, forcing new retailers to make their move
Construction costs have remained largely unchanged over the previous year but are still up 40.4% compared to pre-COVID. Leasing activity rose 18.5% quarter-over-quarter but continues to be well below pre-COVID levels and will likely remain to be the case until construction costs and inflation. However, while many retailers have continued to bide their time waiting for costs to decrease, others have started to lease space that was otherwise not available to them prior to the pandemic, suggesting that there are strong opportunities at the right price.
Total retail employment and job postings both see increase, outlining positive signs
Overall retail employment experienced a 0.9% upturn from the previous quarter and is expected to continue to grow with an increase in total job postings. The accommodations and food services sector experienced the largest uptick with a 1.5% increase, followed by retail trade at 0.8%.
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Get in-depth retail market reports and insights from commercial real estate experts in the Greater San Francisco Bay area. Avison Young advisors look at San Francisco commercial real estate activities and the latest San Francisco statistics to provide you expert market research on San Francisco's retail properties.
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